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华为终于要上市了?至少50年内不会!

当一些上市公司处于风口浪尖,悬崖式下跌的股价,让其彻夜难眠之时。

当某些呼风唤雨的业界大佬在资本市场折戟沉沙、仰天长叹之时……

人们不约而同地想起了一个长期“被”媒体上市的国际化公司华为,以及总裁任正非。这家公司 2016 年营收 5216 亿元,是BAT总和还多。

于是,哪些依靠资本市场从虾米混成大鳄的巨头们,开始将触角一次次地伸向华为,试图通过炒作华为概念快速套利。

华为借壳、华为分拆等谣言醒目地出现在某些网络的头条位置,达到忽悠的目的。

随着时间的流失,坊间流传了数年的华为仍然没有上市的迹象。于是,“华为小伙伴”这个概念开始在资本市场泛滥,甚至给华为送外卖的餐馆也想借助华为概念炒作一把……

在这里明确地告诉亲爱的投资者小伙伴们,华为不会上市,至少 50 年内不会上市。

一、树欲静而风不停。

10 年来,媒体捕风捉影,上市新闻有鼻子有眼,华为辟谣也经历了几个阶段。

早期的华为,对全球媒体开放程度有限,一度闻媒色变,网络欠发达的纸媒主导时代,很多妖魔化华为文章盛行一时,华为也鲜有回复。

而最近几年,国际化的华为,进军多年为进入的终端,于是门户大开,不仅中高层公开接受中外媒体采访,任正非也走到了舆论的前台,甚至接受一些在国际上非常尖锐的媒体的采访,在国内媒体面前更是以和蔼亲民的面孔出现。

于是,针对华为的谣言一般都会“见光死”。华为不但不忌讳关于上市的传闻,还在一些公开场合主动向媒体披露公司对资本市场的看法。

从 2012 年开始,华为高管就在多次公开场合中表示公司不上市,而且态度非常坚定,丝毫没有拖泥带水。

今年 2 月份,在巴塞罗那展上,任正非罕见 28 个问答。其中被媒体作为标题最多的是“华为 50 年内不上市”。

华为借壳分拆上市?至少 50 年内不会!

任正非当时指出,虚拟经济是实体经济的工具,我们不能把工具变成了目的,我们用锄头去种地,不是说我有好多把锄头就创造了好多财富。锄头就是工具,目的是拿来种地的嘛,如果我们玉米不丰收,啥也不种,就没有创造直接价值,锄头永远就没有意义。虚拟经济是实体经济的工具,它不是一个目的,如果我们把虚拟经济变成目的了,这个迟早会有一些挫折。

此前,任正非还用一个形象的养猪理论做比喻:猪养得太肥了,连哼哼声都没了。科技企业应靠人才推动,一个公司过早上市,就会有一批人变成百万富翁、千万富翁,他们的工作激情就会衰退,这对华为不是好事,对员工本人也不见得是好事,华为会因此而增长缓慢,乃至于队伍涣散。

启盈门采访过诸多上市公司,诸多公司在IPO八字不见一撇的时候就提前发出信号,要大举并购,重组甚至到美国上市云云,华为自上到下对上市一致辟谣,毫不含糊,不仅表明了华为高层在上市问题上的立场和态度,更多的是体现其公司长远的战略和决策。

二、公司为什么要融资上市?

1、上市融资可以带来大量资金,提高企业净资产,降低负债率,改善资本结构,提高抗风险能力。

2、上市创造虚拟财富,通过提升股价使股东财富增加。

3、上市可以运用更有效的员工激励机制,实现员工股份价值,留住和吸引人才,提高员工工作积极性。

4、上市可以构建全方位的融资平台,增强金融机构对企业的信心,贷款和其他金融成本会较低。

5、上市企业较高社会声誉以及对当地经济的巨大推动作用,容易获得地方政府的补贴和支持。

归根结底,上市的主要目的是通过资本市场去融资,扩大公司的规模。

那么,根据这个框架衡量一下华为有没有必要上市。

华为借壳分拆上市?至少 50 年内不会!

但是,一旦上市给公司带来的危害是什么呢? 2016 年,任正非关于华为为何不上市解释说:因为我们把利益看得不重,就是为理想和目标而奋斗。如果上市,“股东们”看着股市那儿可赚几十亿元、几百亿元,逼我们横向发展,我们就攻不进“无人区”了。

三、不上市融资的华为,有哪些底气?

华为每年投入研发费用占收入的10%以上,提倡只有厚积薄发才能稳健增长、“板凳要坐十年冷”,华为是为了理想而奋斗等等口号。

据媒体报道,在 2016 年全球研发投入排名前十企业中华为名列第九。华为已成为一家有强大技术实力、强大研发投放、强大创新力、有行业领导力的高科技企业。

任正非多次表示,华为最大的敌人是自己,在大机会面前不能机会主义,华为主张持续聚焦针尖战略,做大管道云云。

但是,不上市并不代表华为自给自足、固步自封,搞个人生态小圈子。华为内部信息披露制度和反腐监督,在某种程度上比如今的正规上市公司更加苛刻,财务更为透明。因此,华为才成为中国制造代表成为国家化标杆企业。

经过 20 年成长,如今华为成为全球第一大通信设备制造企业,覆盖全球 170 国家和地区,华为不仅在设备商市场夺取第一,在手机市场也仅次于苹果三星成为第三,上升势头迅猛。

从区域分布看, 2016 年华为在中国市场营收占比达到45%。从各区域市场增长上看, 2016 年中国市场同比增长41%,欧洲中东非洲增长23%,亚太地区增长37%,美洲增长13%。手机和企业业务的发展提高了中国市场营收占比。

可见,华为可持续生态圈已经形成,增长模式健康可持续,公司无论是技术、产品还是品牌,都已经独树一帜,健康发展,资本市场对其诱惑难以奏效。

华为借壳分拆上市?至少 50 年内不会!

四、时代

尽管这是一个人心浮躁互联网时代,但实体经济仍主宰着国家的经济命脉。中国制造要全球化,绝对不是靠炒作一个概念股可以实现。相反,脚踏实地搞创新的企业才能经受住资本市场的大风大浪。

今天,诸多概念股遭遇半夜鸡叫,诸多不明真相的炒作者血本无归。而资本市场的投机者不创造实体价值,因此,只能让泡沫变得像罂粟一样美丽而险恶。

因此,这里建议投资者不要被市场上所谓“华为小伙伴概念股”迷惑,华为如果 50 年不会上市,哪些所谓借壳、重组并购的概念股,只会让盲目跟风者倾家荡产。

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  146. Palms down, Apple's application retail outlet wins via a mile. It is a enormous variety of all types of apps vs a alternatively unsatisfied quantity of a handful for Zune. Microsoft is made up of plans, especially within just the realm of games, yet I am not certain I'd want in direction of wager upon the foreseeable future if this portion is significant toward on your own. The iPod is a a lot greater determination inside that situation.

  147. Zune and iPod: Optimum men and women look at the Zune in direction of the Contact, still when observing how skinny and incredibly tiny and mild it is, I acquire it toward be a as an alternative unique hybrid that brings together traits of both equally the Contact and the Nano. It's very colourful and attractive OLED show is slightly smaller sized than the contact screen, still the player itself feels quite a bit smaller and lighter. It weighs in excess of 2/3 as considerably, and is substantially more compact inside width and top, though being simply a hair thicker.

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